I HAVE TO ADMIT - YOU ALL REALLY IMPRESSED THE HECK OUT OF ME
THIS WEEK.
In last week’s Tycoon Report article, I mentioned I was starting
a new series about how to invest in private companies.
I also mentioned that in today's article I'd share with you the 3
main questions I ask before investing in any private company (or
any public company for that matter), and I invited you to submit
your top three questions as well.
Boy did you come through! In the past week alone we've received
almost a hundred full and detailed responses from many of you,
offering us your top 3 investing questions. And before I go
forward, I wanted to thank you for making your contribution to
the cause. The questions you submitted were thoughtful, relevant,
and valuable.
Not only have you helped me better understand where I could have
the biggest impact in helping you gain assassin-like precision in
your investment operations, but your feedback has helped me plan
exactly how to teach this subject.
Planning how to teach this topic has been one of the biggest
challenges I've had. Remember, I've debated running this series
for over a year already, and the topic is so big - and the
subject matter so important - that I haven't wanted to screw it
up.
I'm not overstating the case when I say I have so much knowledge
to share with you, I want to do it in the best way possible. So
here's what I came up with.
By the end of this series you will know how to analyze, value,
and negotiate any private business opportunity you're presented
with as an investor.
But investors aren't the only ones who will gain from this
series. Entrepreneurs, those incredible engines of our economic
growth, will be able to apply these lessons as well. Remember,
the principles you use to judge whether to invest in a business
are the same ones you would use if you were starting or running
your own business.
My main point in discussing all of this is to say that, based
upon your incredible feedback this week, the scope of this
endeavor has widened immensely.
The good news is that I'm up to the challenge. And I know that if
we work together, as a team, that we'll all be better off for
having done it.
OK. Are you ready? Let’s dive in.
After reading your feedback, I've decided that the best way to
get the most amount of information to you in the clearest manner
is to break this big lesson into pieces.
Here's what I intend to do: This week I plan to fulfill the
promise I made last week, and share with you the 3 most important
questions you should ask before buying a piece of a private
company.
Since I wanted to add to the scope of this lesson, I've decided
to break out an additional question and share the 4 main
questions I use when judging an investment opportunity. That's
right - I'm going to share with you my full arsenal, no holds
barred.
So here are the four questions, and here is how we plan to
address each of them in the coming weeks:
1. Do I understand the business?
This is the first question you have to ask yourself before you
invest in anything. But when I say "understand the
business", I don't mean a superficial understanding of the
business. Everybody knows that Joe's Pizza Parlor makes pizza
pies.
To really "understand the business" you must know exactly how the
business makes its money and exactly where the business
spends its money. That's the only way you'll ever be able
to properly analyze the company's Profit and Loss
statement.
Last, but not least, you have to know exactly how the business
markets itself. One of the most common mistakes I see new
entrepreneurs make is that they don't have a real marketing plan.
Sure, many young businesspeople pitching you their ideas will
have what looks like a great marketing plan.
However, unless they can tell you exactly what their lead
acquisition and customer acquisition costs are it is not a true
marketing plan. Period. Many businesspeople will tell you that
it's impossible for them to provide that information to
you. That's BS. Anybody who can't provide you with that
information hasn't thought about marketing their product or
service hard enough, PERIOD.
In the coming weeks, we'll spend time in this section so you
understand how to determine if the person bringing you the idea
understands the business they're asking you to invest in. You'll
have so many questions you'll be able to ask that if they can't
answer them, you don't invest. It's that simple.
2. Am I comfortable with management?
Many of you wrote about trust in management as one of the key
questions you should look at. You were spot on with that
assertion. But how can you tell if the person pitching you the
idea is trustworthy? That's an art in and of itself, and we'll
dive deeper into that in coming weeks also.
One thing is certain: 97% of the investment opportunities I see
are shot down before I even get to this phase of the analysis.
Indeed, if I find a business owner who can withstand my withering
barrage of questions from the "understand the business" section
of my analysis, they've already gone far in earning my
trust.
Of course, they have further to go - and there are things we can
do to help screen them further – but unfortunately, having good
conversations with intelligent, reasonable and humble
entrepreneurs are rare.
3. What is the business worth?
Let us assume that we understand the business and we trust the
person pitching us the idea. Now, we have to determine what the
business is worth.
Many of the companies you'll be asked to invest in are start-ups
(very high risk). Some of the companies you may seek investment
opportunities in may be existing businesses (like Joe's Pizza
Parlor). Either way, you want to make sure that once you get to
this part of the negotiation you'll have a good handle on what
the business is worth.
(PS--You could never determine the worth of a business if you
didn't first "understand the business".)
4. What do I have to pay?
Having a wonderful company to invest in is one thing. Getting it
for a good price is entirely different (try convincing a dealer
to sell you the latest Mercedes 500SL convertible for
$10,000).
Hence, the sole objective here is to quantify the difference
between value and price (what something is worth versus what you
have to pay for it).
Many people will argue that they invested in XYZ Company because,
in their words, it was a "good company". But to invest at the highest level of the game,
you have to be able to differentiate between a good company and a
good price.
There are many great companies out there for you to invest in,
but the more you pay to invest in them the lower your return will
be.
Joe's Pizza Parlor might be a great concept in a great
neighborhood with a great marketing plan and great management.
But if the price isn't right, you have to be disciplined and walk
away.
Remember, the $100,000 that Joe is asking you to invest in his
company could be invested into AAA Corporate Bonds with a 6%
yield. That means you could earn $6,000 on your $100,000
investment without doing a single bit of hard work.
In the case of Joe's Pizza Parlor, or any other start-up you're
looking at, you want to make sure that the money you're investing
will get you much more money then you could get on your own
investing in bonds. And if the price isn't right, that isn't
going to happen.
Next week, I'm going to go into greater depth explaining the
questions you must ask the entrepreneur to truly understand the
business in which you are being asked to invest.
If any of you would like to offer a sample company as an example
of the business idea, I'd be more than happy to use it next
week.
Until then,
Dylan Jovine
Self-Described InterGalactic Cheap Stock Business & Investing
Guru
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