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Are Goldman Sachs and Facebook Poised for a Rebound?

Monday, June 11, 2012 | Marc Lichtenfeld

As you may have heard, golfer Tiger Woods recently won his second tournament in three months, after having not won an event since before his personal life went over a cliff in 2009.

We’ll have to see if the old Tiger is back, but regardless, it’s a strong comeback for an athlete and a man who seemed completely lost just a short time ago.

Stocks can act the same way.  Sometimes a stock is enormously popular, only to crash and burn.  And if you can find the ones that will rise from the ashes, there is a lot of money to be made.

Let’s look at a few stocks that have had a rough go of it over the past few years, but seem poised to rebound.

Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS)

Goldman’s stock is a disaster, trading at about 1/3 of its all-time high of $250, back in 2007.  Main Street despises Wall Street right now, and that will likely only increase as we head into a particularly nasty election where the Obama campaign will attempt to position Mitt Romney as everything negative about the industry.

And although Goldman’s reputation doesn’t shine as brightly as it once did, it is still one of, if not the 800 pound gorillas in the business.  With J.P. Morgan Chase’s (NYSE: JPM) CEO Jamie Dimon seeing his formerly beloved status evaporate due to uncontrolled trading losses, Goldman is still arguably the king of Wall Street.

It’s stock isn’t trading like that though. Near its lowest level in three years, the stock is trading at just 7.6 times this year’s expected earnings.  In 2013, earnings per share are projected to grow 11%, increasing to 12% over the next five years.  On a trailing basis, Goldman is surprisingly trading well below its peers at 13.3 times earnings versus the industry average of 18.5.

There are all kinds of regulatory reforms aimed at Wall Street firms, which make them out of favor with investors.  But nobody has done it better than Goldman for years, and when the group comes back into favor, Goldman Sachs will likely lead the way.

Facebook (Nasdaq: FB)

Facebook hasn’t had a long history as a publicly traded company, but could anything be more out of favor?  Last Monday, an analyst was on CNBC saying Facebook wasn’t going to be around in five years.

I’m going to bet he’s wrong.  Facebook might not have lived up to the hype that was generated in order to get the masses to pump up the stock price, but that doesn’t mean there isn’t a real business here that can grow by leaps and bounds.

Facebook has more of its users’ personal information than any company on the planet.  As it begins to figure out how to monetize that information, revenue and earnings will grow significantly.

Keep in mind that internet users spend three times as much time on Facebook than on any other website.

And don’t underestimate Mark Zuckerberg.  Just because he’s soft spoken and a little awkward, don’t mistake him for being complacent.  He is one of the most driven CEOs around.  He wants to be the next Bill Gates.  He has the intelligence and the product to get him there.

It’s still in the early stages with Facebook, but I think long-term investors will be just fine with this stock.

It’s hard to know who is disliked more, Tiger Woods or Goldman Sachs and Facebook.  But Tiger appears to be back, and I expect Goldman and Facebook to help investors be at the top of their game in the near future too.


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Marc Lichtenfeld
Contributing Editor
The Tycoon Report
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Comments:

Jondoe

6/11/2012 4:30 PM

Lame article based purely on speculation. Give a time line for this prediction to come true and then it will hold some water. Otherwise anyone could throw out a name and in 10 years say "see it went up just as I said..."
FollowTheFacts

6/11/2012 4:54 PM

..."not very interesting"...is what I think of this article...
Tony_D

6/11/2012 5:09 PM

Marc, you must live in a state that legalizes marijuana.  Sometimes stocks are hated for a reason.  When FB hits $5 a share, wake me up.  Until then short the hell out of it
Mick

6/11/2012 5:40 PM

Remains to be seen, on all three accounts! Mick
DA

6/11/2012 5:49 PM

Nothing exites the game of golf, especially the media, like Tiger winning.  Not sure GS can drum up the same level of exitement. 
Simon

6/11/2012 6:12 PM

Nonsense - You write   "Keep in mind that internet users spend three times as much time on Facebook than on any other website"        My entire extended family are heavy net users.  Not one has an FB or Twit a/c.  FB is built on sand
ed

6/11/2012 7:20 PM

you wrote Goldman Sachs reputation doesnt shine as brightly. tell it as it is it has no shine
Big Ed

6/11/2012 7:52 PM

I agree with you and have bought some out of favor bank stocks. Hope you are right. Facebook on the other hand is a different story. A total unknown. Fortunetely ony got a modest amount at the offering.
Jason Wreight

6/11/2012 9:34 PM

--Well  argued for  both issues. But,  while   I'd be  happy  to  take a   substantial  punt on GS (assuming  the  P/E figures and projections are  anywhere like   accurate and reasonable,  I  wouldn't  go  near Facebook  even if  I wa
Hadisutiono

6/11/2012 11:10 PM

been trading since 96 and never had a losing trade? you're right!
Mariusjohnsrud

6/12/2012 6:11 AM

in the rest of the world, Facebook is huge when it comes to user time. the question is if they can make more money out of it. Keep in mind that Facebook's primary goal is not to make money. 
Oscar

6/12/2012 9:51 AM

Jason, is trading a full time "job"? Cause I lost lot more trades than I made....in 20 years I've been trading.... I work in retail, and do not spend enough time on investing...tht is the reason....
Jason Wreight

6/12/2012 11:10 PM

 Hi  Oscar  and Hadisutiono.    (have  a look at  my post  today  ~June 13    ~ about 'conventions'.) ...and  no,   trading isn't a  'job' at all: I  just  do it  for the money! I  had the  advantage of  coming from a  long line 
Jason Wreight

6/12/2012 11:14 PM

 hohohohohohoho!!!   --->  "Facebook's primary goal is not to make money."
Friedelgeorg

6/16/2012 9:27 PM

Hi Jason, well spoken, you have all my simpathie, I wouldn't touch FB, Mr.Zuckerberg is a highly unrelieable person me if it comes to business, exploiding the somewhat simpleminded masses isn't a well founded business for me either, I leave that for the r
Jason Wreight

6/16/2012 11:11 PM

 Hi  Friedelgeorg.   There's  not  much  to 'share' beyond  what's  in the  above  post, but  certainly willing  to  discuss   just about anything  you  wish.  Feel  free  to   email  me  at  the address  above (dabbbles@gmail.
Jhkmtk44

6/16/2012 11:31 PM

Jamie Dimon should be in jail for fraud.